Blame upsets Quality Road in Whitney Invitational

Horseracing Betting Lines

08/07/2010 - Saratoga Springs, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Blame, ridden by Garrett Gomez, overtook odds-on favorite Quality Road late in the stretch to win Saturday's $750,000 Whitney Invitational at Saratoga Race Course. The victory gives the four-year-old colt a guaranteed spot in this year's Breeders' Cup Classic.

Quality Road, trained by Todd Pletcher, was the 2-5 morning-line favorite and was sent off as the 1-2 pick for the 1 1/8-mile race. Blame was the 3-1 second choice in the six horse field.

With John Velazquez riding, Quality Road set a leisurely pace followed by Haynesfield, Musket Man, Blame, Jardim and Mine That Bird. Quality Road went the first half-mile in just over 48-seconds.

Around the turn for home Quality Road was still in command with Musket Man second and Blame on the outside moving into third. At the top of the stretch the favorite had a clear lead with Blame moving past Musket Man into second.

With a furlong to run Blame was right behind Quality Road and gaining. Just yards until the wire Blame caught Quality Road and was able to register a nose victory at historic Saratoga.

Musket Man held on for third followed by Haynesfield, Mine That Bird and Jardim.

The time for the Whitney was 1:48.88 on a fast track.

Trained by Al Stall, Jr., Blame posted his fifth straight win, all in stakes events. The colt has won eight of 11 lifetime starts, and the $450,000 from Saturday pushes his career earnings to more than $1.5 million.

The four-year-old, owned by Adele Dilschneider, was coming off a win in the Stephen Foster Handicap in June at Churchill Downs. Last year at Saratoga Blame won the Curlin Stakes for three-year-olds.

Blame paid $8.80, $3.00 and $2.20. Quality Road returned $2.40 and $2.10, and Musket Man paid $2.50 to show.

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What Is the Point Spread?

What are Sports Betting Point Spreads?

In any football or basketball game (the main sports that use point spreads) there are two teams playing against each other.

Those teams, though, are rarely exactly evenly matched – meaning that typically one team has a better chance than the other to win the game. If bettors were allowed to bet on who was simply going to win the game, smart ones would obviously bet on the better team (likely winning more than 50% of the time in the process).

If winning were that easy the Las Vegas and online sportsbooks would stop taking any bets! This is where the point spread comes in: the basic function of the point spread is to balance the likelihood of each team “winning” by adjusting the final score by the point spread. After this adjustment is made you get the Against The Spread result (ATS result for short).

Let’s look at Super Bowl XXXIX, New England Patriots vs. Philadelphia Eagles. Most people believed the defending champ Patriots to be the better team – so if betting were simply based upon which team would win the game, an uneven majority of people would have wagered on New England. But, by using the point spread, the bookmakers adjusted the terms of the bet, evening the proposition so about half the people believed the Pats to be the smart bet, while the other half considered Philly to be the smart bet.

How to Read Point Spreads

New England Patriots -7 vs. Philadelphia Eagles

The better team, called the Favorite, is expected to win the game and must “give” or “lay” points to the weaker team. The favorite is listed with a minus sign and the number of points they are favored by (e.g., New England -7)

In the case of our example, New England must not only win the game, but they must win by more than 7 points for Pats bettors to have a winning ATS result. An Eagles bettor wins his bet either if:

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